Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.334090 0.438258 0.552092 0.683879 0.830588 0.987449 1.166478
2025-09-07 0.187840 0.321539 0.485370 0.691507 0.936307 1.211565 1.538930
2025-09-14 0.111927 0.249216 0.435311 0.684547 0.993607 1.352046 1.788560
2025-09-21 0.059517 0.188512 0.385429 0.666309 1.028731 1.460432 1.996544
2025-09-28 0.039288 0.168818 0.385094 0.706606 1.131609 1.645757 2.291302
2025-10-05 0.026950 0.157588 0.393803 0.756730 1.245342 1.843202 2.599797
2025-10-12 0.016451 0.143583 0.394943 0.794230 1.341384 2.018077 2.880711
2025-10-19 0.011534 0.140664 0.412824 0.854660 1.466889 2.229066 3.204996
2025-10-26 0.006656 0.132827 0.420591 0.899468 1.571203 2.413457 3.497071
2025-11-02 0.001799 0.113997 0.405541 0.908702 1.626832 2.536206 3.713817
2025-11-09 NaN 0.080069 0.354358 0.858847 1.599592 2.552436 3.798908
2025-11-16 NaN 0.050757 0.301901 0.800961 1.557208 2.546408 3.854172
2025-11-23 NaN 0.034392 0.273185 0.780523 1.568741 2.612981 4.004414
2025-11-30 NaN 0.026007 0.262032 0.788753 1.621201 2.733443 4.223160
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017043 0.243275 0.781278 1.649351 2.820880 4.399475
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009020 0.219416 0.761721 1.658144 2.881757 4.541642
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008494 0.228959 0.804918 1.760629 3.067481 4.842120
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008936 0.243853 0.858542 1.878977 3.274620 5.170060
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008182 0.251734 0.898590 1.976912 3.454553 5.463600
2026-01-11 NaN 0.009531 0.272084 0.963008 2.111837 3.684240 5.820658
2026-01-18 NaN 0.009421 0.283807 1.010687 2.221547 3.880266 6.135081
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006436 0.276321 1.020505 2.273793 3.999174 6.351383
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001385 0.238652 0.967467 2.228699 3.986094 6.398605